Wednesday, June 10, 2009

Recent Trends and Fluctuations in the Price of Gold

Currencies and other valuables are going down in worth but gold has always shown an appreciation with respect to worth. It is normally believed that value of dollar increases when gold's value decreases. Generally observing the market, we can conclude the same result. It seems as if both the powers are reciprocal to each other. However, it is also shown that of price of gold has not a very strong influence over dollar rates. On observing gold dollar index we can see the fluctuation in the price of gold. This index is calculated in such a way that the currency fluctuation does not influence the gold trends.

This index shows that gold can be traded as strong and as weak asset too. On looking at the index, experts say that when dollars strengthen ups, value of gold goes down but these are not the reciprocal moves. It has been observed that it moves side ways trying to oppose the trends of dollars movement. This also indicates a cheerful trend of gold irrespective of dollars trend.

One more gold trend indicator is Central Gold Trust (GTU). By following the actual or the discount rates the trend of gold whether it is bullish or bearish can be observed. Because of high demand of Central Gold Trust people are willing to pay high premium that is as high as 25%. This does not make much sense as you can buy gold even without paying any premium. This shows another trend of gold that is actually resisting the trend of powerful dollar.

Though many TV commercials are directing the world towards high value of gold even in future but one can not be confident about this trend. You can not guarantee the rise in its value. No doubt it is a very attractive metal and a valuable asset for almost everyone but after looking at the charts made by professionals we should be ready for a decline, though it seems unlikely to happen.

Somehow strength of dollar adversely affects the gold's worth. But it is just a currency. It can not remain ultimate for ages the way gold can. After economical recession that has affected US a lot, people are a bit confused regarding investing in gold. This nervousness is the result of many factors. One major factor is devaluation of dollar as compared to other big currencies of the world.

People are not sure about gold investment due to banks' failure. But then there is rise in energy cost that has made transportation and many other things very difficult for people, they think that gold is comparatively safer than other modes of investments. It seems more stable for those who can see the economy of the world crashing down. Gold can still be the commodity that can be used for exchanging and trading in the future.

People who are buying gold with confidence can not fore see the devaluation of gold in the long run. The long run can portray a different picture if inflation and sheer market loss comes under control.

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